https://ideawaza.com/api.php?action=feedcontributions&feedformat=atom&user=213.253.40.133 2026-09-30T09:03:52Z User contributions MediaWiki 1.46.0 https://ideawaza.com/index.php?title=Revising_opinions_in_statistics&diff=59911 2002-04-20T08:26:14Z

<p>213.253.40.133: fixing Bayes&#039; theorem link</p> <hr /> <div>Researchers who use [[personal probability]] can proceed as follows:<br /> #A [[statistical model]] for the data generating process is assumed. The model might specify that the data follows a normal distribution with an unknown mean. <br /> #The researcher describes his opinion about the unknown mean as having a [[normal distribution]] centered at 10 with a [[standard deviation]] of 2. This would be called the researcher's '''prior''' distribution for the mean.<br /> #With the [[likelihood function]] of the observed data and the probabilistic description of his opinion, the researcher can calculate (using [[Bayes' theorem]]) the appropriate opinion consistent with both sources of information. This is called the '''posterior''' distribution.<br /> <br /> back to [[statistical theory]] -- [[applied statistics]]</div>

213.253.40.133